India’s Green Hydrogen Potential: FICCI–EY 2025 Report

Syllabus: Climate and Energy

Source:  DTE

Context:  A recent joint report by FICCI & EY highlighted that India can capture 10% of the global green hydrogen market by addressing economic and infrastructural challenges.

  • The report urges redirecting fossil fuel subsidies and introducing an industry use mandate to create reliable domestic demand.

About Green Hydrogen

What is Green Hydrogen?

  • Produced by electrolysis of water using renewable energy → hydrogen + oxygen.
  • Zero-emission fuel with applications in steel, mobility, fertilisers, and shipping.
  • Crucial for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and achieving net-zero goals.

India’s Current Efforts

  1. National Green Hydrogen Mission (2023)
    • Outlay: ₹19,744 crore.
    • Target: 5 million tonnes (MMT) production capacity annually by 2030.
    • Requires 125 GW renewable capacity, electrolyser manufacturing, and water logistics.
  2. Pilot Projects
    • Five pilot projects funded with ₹208 crore.
    • Deployment of 37 hydrogen-powered vehicles (15 fuel cell, 22 hydrogen ICE).
    • 9 refuelling stations to be operational in 18–24 months.
  3. Cost Trends
    • Current cost: $4–4.5/kg.
    • Projected by 2030: $3–3.75/kg (due to cheap renewable power, tax incentives, and efficiency gains).

Challenges

  1. High Early-Stage Costs: Green hydrogen costs are ~2x grey hydrogen, due to transmission losses, capex gaps, and efficiency issues.
  2. Fossil Fuel Incentives: Subsidies for carbon-intensive fuels distort markets, making hydrogen adoption less competitive.
  3. Infrastructure Deficit: Need for large-scale renewable integration, water logistics, storage, and pipelines.
  4. Demand Uncertainty: Industry adoption is limited; investors hesitate without guaranteed offtake.
  5. Global Competition: EU, Japan, South Korea already investing heavily in hydrogen import corridors.

Recommendations from Report

  1. Redirect Subsidies: Shift financial incentives from fossil fuels to renewables and hydrogen projects.
  2. Industry Use Mandate: Introduce green hydrogen purchase obligations across industrial sectors (steel, fertiliser, shipping).
  3. Carbon Pricing Mechanism: Implement carbon tax to make green hydrogen more competitive against fossil fuels.
  4. Demand Aggregation: Structured procurement + payment security mechanisms to ensure competitive prices and reliable contracts.
  5. Export Strategy: Position India to export 10 MMT annually to EU, Japan, South Korea.
  6. Innovation & Research: Boost domestic electrolyser production, scale startups, and incentivise private sector R&D.

Global Context

  • Market Size: $8.78 bn (2024) → projected $199.22 bn (2034) at 41.5% CAGR.
  • India’s Market Projection: $2.81 bn by 2030, CAGR 56% (2024–30).
  • Global concern: 14.3 million zero-dose children (2024) indicate immunity gaps, but for hydrogen, analogy is adoption gaps across developing nations.

Conclusion

India has the strategic potential to emerge as a green hydrogen leader, leveraging its vast renewable base, low-cost power, and geographic advantages. But success will depend on redirecting fossil fuel subsidies, creating domestic demand mandates, scaling infrastructure, and ensuring global partnerships. With timely reforms, India could secure a 10% global market share by 2030, becoming a cornerstone in the global clean energy transition.