General Studies-3; Topic: Indian Economy and issues relating to planning, mobilization of resources, growth, development and employment.
Introduction
- India’s GDP is projected to grow from $3.7 trillion (2023-24) to $7 trillion (2030-31), backed by strong fiscal policies, robust digital and physical infrastructure, and financial sector expansion.
- However, to sustain this growth, higher capital expenditure (capex) and increased credit flow are essential.
- The current regulatory framework for banks, including Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR), Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR), Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR), and Priority Sector Lending (PSL), restricts credit availability, making a case for easing banking regulations.
The Need for Increased Investments
- Capital Requirement for a $7 Trillion Economy
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- To achieve a $7 trillion economy, India needs $2.5 trillion in investments, requiring an investment-to-GDP ratio of 34%.
- The government’s fiscal deficit limits public investment, making private and household savings crucial for capital formation.
- Private sector investment has declined, with the investment-to-operating cash flow ratio falling from 114% (2008-09) to 56% (2023-24).
Challenges in Financial Intermediation
- The Declining Role of Banks in Capital Mobilization
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- Banks now receive only 40% of household savings, down from 50% a few years ago, as consumers prefer mutual funds and pension schemes for better returns.
- High pre-emptions reduce banks’ lendable resources, pushing up interest rates and discouraging corporate and MSME borrowing.
- The Burden of Regulatory Pre-emptions
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- Banks must hold up to 30% of deposits as non-lendable reserves due to:
- SLR (26%) – Higher than the regulatory requirement of 18%, due to LCR constraints.
- CRR (4%) – No interest earned, further limiting bank liquidity.
- This reduces credit supply and increases borrowing costs, slowing economic expansion.
- Banks must hold up to 30% of deposits as non-lendable reserves due to:
- Impact of New LCR Guidelines for Digital Deposits
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- Upcoming LCR norms for digital deposits will require banks to invest an additional 2-2.5% of deposits in liquid assets, reducing lending capacity further.
Rethinking Banking Regulations: Do We Need Both LCR and SLR?
- Global Best Practices vs. India’s Approach
- Globally, only LCR is mandatory, while India imposes both LCR and SLR, leading to excessive capital retention in low-yield assets.
- In most countries, CRR (which earns no interest) is included in High-Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA), but India excludes it, reducing bank profitability.
- Basel III norms recommend that banks assess their liquidity needs independently, yet RBI’s rigid regulations create compliance burdens.
Addressing Liquidity Challenges
- Limited Access to Credit for MSMEs
- Large corporates access capital through equity markets, bond markets, and bank credit, but MSMEs face credit shortages.
- Priority Sector Lending (PSL) targets exceed 60%, leading to mispricing of credit risks.
- The PSL framework must evolve to reflect new economic priorities and current GDP composition.
Credit Growth and Exchange Rate Management
- Credit Growth Lower than Nominal GDP Growth
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- India’s credit growth lags nominal GDP growth, raising concerns about capital formation and financial stability.
- The credit-to-deposit (CD) ratio must be re-evaluated, ensuring banks can raise debt and equity efficiently.
- Exchange Rate Management and Liquidity Impact
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- Defending the rupee against the strong dollar drains liquidity without stabilizing the currency in real terms.
- Overvaluation of the rupee reduces export competitiveness, impacting trade balance and forex reserves.
Way Forward
- Revisiting SLR and LCR mandates to free up bank liquidity and lower lending costs.
- Encouraging private-sector investment through policy stability and demand stimulation.
- Updating PSL norms to reflect India’s evolving economic structure.
- Ensuring credit growth aligns with nominal GDP growth to sustain investment-led expansion.
- Deepening capital markets and reducing regulatory barriers for bond market growth.
- Aligning digital banking costs with international fee models to maintain financial viability.
Conclusion
- India stands at a critical juncture in its financial evolution. With progressive banking reforms, better financial intermediation, and improved liquidity management, the banking sector can drive India’s transformation into a $7 trillion economy.
Practice Question:
India aims to become a $7 trillion economy by 2030-31. Discuss the role of banking sector reforms in achieving this target. Suggest measures to improve credit availability while ensuring financial stability. (250 words)








